Archive for the ‘World affairs’ Category

On the Icesave issue

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

[This was written as a response to a comment on The Independent's leading article on the Icesave dispute. As I addressed some important misunderstandings, I have reproduced my response here. If you are unfamiliar with the issue, that leading article is a good summary; the Financial Times editorial is an even better one.]

“The measures you mention [by UK and Dutch authorities, to force Iceland's hand] were taken after your president refused to pay.”

That is simply incorrect: the president did not “refuse to pay”, he refused to ratify more onerous payment terms — and he did so last Monday Tuesday, whereas the measures mentioned took place over the previous months.

“In case you havent heard the UK is in hundreds of bilions of pounds in debt, we need the money as much as you do.”

Yes, the UK has problems as well. But the liability per person is on the order of £50 to the UK and £10,000 to Iceland; a nuisance to one and ruinous to the other. Such a difference in scale might normally be irrelevant, but when a nation’s economic survival is at stake, it is entirely relevant.

And still Iceland did agree to foot this gargantuan bill. That’s the deal the president ratified last September. What the Icelandic parliament had added to the deal were reasonable provisos to safeguard against complete economic ruin. Those safeguards were rejected by the UK and the Netherlands (even though Iceland’s ruin would clearly be against their interests as well), and the Icelandic government’s surrender to that hardline stance is what the president refused to ratify this week.

“The measures taken by Brown are not overstated, they are completely natural in response to getting back our loan.”

Here “getting back our loan” is inaccurate: Iceland never saw that money. The UK and Dutch authorities unilaterally paid it out directly to Icesave depositors, nationalizing their loss because Iceland’s depositors’ guarantee fund sadly was not good for it.

That fund operated in full compliance with the same (now seen to be flawed) framework and funding scheme as corresponding funds in the EU, and like them had no state guarantee. The UK and Dutch governments demanded, after the fact, that it be retrofitted with such a state guarantee. They made no mention of such requirements while their regulatory authorities (and Iceland’s) cheerily tolerated this accumulation of de facto uninsured deposits. If they had, the accumulation would certainly have been stopped and the fiasco averted, as Iceland would clearly never have taken on such a guarantee, let alone borrowed absurd amounts from other countries to fund it.

Thus the blame for this royal mess lies (in addition to the failed private bank) with regulatory authorities and frameworks on all sides. Iceland has already agreed to shoulder its part of the cost, a per-capita burden wildly disproportionate to its share of the blame (whose clarification in a neutral court was denied Iceland, presumably to avoid a blow to global confidence in deposit guarantee schemes. Should Iceland’s 160,000 taxpayers alone pay the price for that?). But the UK and Dutch governments demand the pound of flesh as well.

“If you want to blame someone, then for petes sake blame your own government”

Done. It fell in January a year ago. That doesn’t resolve the dispute though.

“This is natioanlistic pride…thats all”

Nope. In the current predicament Iceland is swallowing plenty of that. I think gvalg’s [a previous commenter's] use of the word “humiliated” was distracting: although humiliation does come with being flogged raw, it is the flogging that’s the problem.

While the UK and Dutch leadership may find it politically expedient to present all this as a matter of nationalistic pride and belligerence (a common enemy is useful, particularly when elections are near), Iceland is only trying to hold on to a minimal assurance of economic survival. Is that really so arrogant? I urge you to reconsider your position.

Inspirational leadership

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008


This great Nation will endure as it has endured, will revive and will prosper. So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.

— Roosevelt on the Great Depression, first inaugural address, March 4, 1933

We shall go on to the end, we shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender

— Churchill on World War II, speech in the House of Commons, June 4, 1940

If money isn’t loosened up, this sucker could go down.

— George W. Bush on the economy, according to NYT, Sep 25, 2008

(It’s Jeff Matthews’ juxtaposition, I just spiffed up the references.)

(And okay, FDR and Churchill were making speeches and Bush was not. Still.)

A wee study in rhetorical tactics

Tuesday, September 9th, 2008
A random unrelated image

A random unrelated image

Respect for one’s opponent is a virtue most of us will acknowledge, but not all of us practice.

Clive Crook, in his column in the Financial Times, feels that the latter failing particularly afflicts Democrat-leaning commentators (or “liberals” as they are respectfully referred to in fair and balanced U.S. media).

Whatever the truth or falsity of that, I am using his article as a case study in rhetorical tactics. I have no credentials toward such a study; these are the casual observations of a layman.

So, here’s how to write an article designed to sway public opinion against an opponent. In the quotations, the bold-face emphasis is my doing (and the bald-faced original is Crook’s, of course).

First, project some appreciation of the opponent’s scant virtues, in order to boost the credibility of the attacks that are to follow:

Democrats speak up for the less prosperous; they have well-intentioned policies to help them; they are disturbed by inequality, and want to do something about it. Their concern is real and admirable.

Then levy a related blanket accusation against the opponent’s mindset that is sufficiently subjective to (a) stick easily without clear proof, and (b) lend itself poorly to clear disproof:

Their sympathy comes mixed with disdain, and even contempt.

Note an important feature of this accusation: it is closely tied with the initial praise, so as to neutralize it.

Next, develop that accusation further, taking care to appeal to the innate human frailties of resentment and defensiveness about suggested inferiority:

Democrats regard their policies as self-evidently in the interests of the US working and middle classes. Yet those wide segments of US society keep helping to elect Republican presidents. How is one to account for this? Are those people idiots? Frankly, yes – or so many liberals are driven to conclude. Either that or bigots, clinging to guns, God and white supremacy; or else pathetic dupes, ever at the disposal of Republican strategists. If they only had the brains to vote in their interests, Democrats think, the party would never be out of power. But again and again, the Republicans tell their lies, and those stupid damned voters buy it.

Feel free to lay it on thick here, whipping up the reader’s ire. It will not be directed at you.

Bring up the familiar “liberal media bias”, assuring the audience that said media also look down on them:

It is an attitude that a good part of the US media share. The country has conservative media (Fox News, talk radio) as well as liberal media (most of the rest). Curiously, whereas the conservative media know they are conservative, much of the liberal media believe themselves to be neutral.

Play the elitism theme some more, rub it in:

Their constant support for Democratic views has nothing to do with bias, in their minds, but reflects the fact that Democrats just happen to be right about everything. The result is the same: for much of the media, the fact that Republicans keep winning can only be due to the backwardness of much of the country.

Portray the opponent’s supporters with reckless exaggeration (go wild and cartoonlike here, nobody is going to demand any verisimilitude):

[Sarah Palin] represents a great slice of the country that the Democrats say they care about – yet her selection induced an apoplectic fit.

Allude to misogyny if at all possible. Ideally do so in an unverifiable and undisprovable way:

For days, the derision poured down from Democratic party talking heads and much of the media too. The idea that “this woman” might be vice-president or even president was literally incomprehensible.

Mine the most damning reactions among the opponent’s public supporters — even if you have to go to the edgy comedians, that works just fine — and depict them as being typical:

The popular liberal comedian Bill Maher, whose act is an endless sneer at the Republican party, noted that John McCain’s case for the presidency was that only he was capable of standing between the US and its enemies, but that should he die he had chosen “this stewardess” to take over.

Then deftly project this worst sneering you can find, onto the rest of his supporters, and by implication, your opponent himself. This is a combination of “they’re all the same” with a classic “let them deny it” manoeuvre:

I give Mr Maher credit for daring to say what many Democrats would only insinuate.

But here you have left yourself open to a very valid retort: Maher’s scorn was obviously no less targeted at the VP candidate’s complete and utter lack of experience in foreign affairs and defense, than at her refreshingly non-septuagenarian appearance. To parry that, preemptively deflect the point by half-conceding it — and immediately deliver an elitism riposte:

This joke was not – or not only – a complaint about lack of experience. It was also an expression of class disgust.

Do not get carried away with concessions, though — for example, certainly do not concede that the opposing side’s brisk reactions to Palin might have had to do with to-be-expected Democrat concerns such as the VP candidate supporting creationism in schools; being a hardliner on abortion; displaying an interest in banning books; and referring to the Iraq war as hopefully “a task that is from God”. Carefully portray all opposition as mere sexism and class snobbery.

There is still some risk that your target audience is not sufficiently aware of the disdain you claim they are constantly shown. So remind them again:

Voters in small towns and suburbs, forever mocked and condescended to by metropolitan liberals, are attuned to this disdain.

Sneak in a not-so-subtle suggestion as to what they should do about it, but do not let it sound as if you want to encourage them to do that — you are just casually making a general observation:

Every four years, many take their revenge.

But now, ease up a little. As in the beginning, enhance your credibility as a fair and balanced commentator by ending your article with a charm offensive. First, praise the opponent a bit. Do not make it phony. If possible, say something you might mean:

The irony in 2008 is that the Democratic candidate, despite Republican claims to the contrary, is not an elitist. Barack Obama is an intellectual, but he remembers his history. He can and does connect with ordinary people. His courteous reaction to the Palin nomination was telling.

Still, jab a little, but make sure to sound very nice about it:

Mr Obama made a bad mistake when he talked about clinging to God and guns, but I am inclined to make allowances

To further deflect accusations of bias, imply that you genuinely wish the opposing side would overcome the weaknesses you have described:

If only the Democrats could contain their sense of entitlement to govern in a rational world, and their consequent distaste for wide swathes of the US electorate, they might gain…

Still, lace that with another smidgeon of the air-of-superiority poison:

… the unshakeable grip on power they feel they deserve.

As a final coup de grâce, blithely slap your opponents with the commie AND the terrorist labels in one go. That’s simple. Just portray them as being against … wait for it …

They will have to develop some regard for the values that the middle of the country expresses when it votes Republican. Religion. Unembarrassed flag-waving patriotism. Freedom to succeed or fail through one’s own efforts.

Yes, go ahead, use the “They Hate Our Freedom” line.

Now that is rhetoric.

Of course, throughout this process of decrying the disrespect of the opposing side, leave unspoken your implicit suggestion that your own side’s talking heads represent — by contrast — the very epitome of respectful discourse. They certainly haven’t been outed for equally contemptuous commentary, along with a generous helping of double standards. They are no liberals, after all.

Note: I took this article as an example because (a) I got the idea reading this article, and (b) I’m not too fond of the McCain-Palin ticket. (Could you tell?) I don’t doubt that a similar set of tactics pervades Democrat-leaning text — just like the article author presumably doesn’t doubt that disrespect and contempt are shown on his side as well. Excuse us both for exercising our bias just a tad.

In context

Thursday, February 14th, 2008

Two news items side by side on CNN Money:

CNN juxtaposition

Is wealth increasingly unevenly distributed?

Sunday, July 15th, 2007

Afar ríkir menn

Many people lose sleep over the idea that (great) wealth is increasingly unevenly distributed, that fewer people have amassed a larger share of the pie than ever before. This conviction seems to arise from observing the very richest and wrinkling one’s nose and scoffing and being indignant.

(Is anyone ever dignant?)

The New York Times today published a summary of the 30 richest Americans of all time, measuring their riches in today’s dollars using the relative share of GDP.

Two of them are alive today, Bill Gates (ranking fifth) and Warren Buffett. Sam Walton founder of WalMart died in 1992, all the others were dead by 1950.

The four richest were born in 1750, 1763, 1794, and 1839.

There’s more to it, of course, but in any case this hardly supports the notion that wealth is more unevenly distributed extreme wealth is accrued by fewer people now than it used to be.

Incidentally, these moguls have one notable thing in common: they all have a Y chromosome. It seems worth investigating the role of this genetic trait in the accumulation of wealth.

Push the button

Tuesday, March 20th, 2007
Tipex lead singer pushing the button

Tipex lead singer pushing the button

The eerie pipe-smoking accordionist

The eerie pipe-smoking accordionist

Okay, I’ve quit complaining about Eurovision songs being watered-out corny sugar clichés. First the Finns last year, and now — for those readers domiciled under a rock like me — the Israeli song this year (thank you, Eyþór).

Here are the lyrics, as far as I can tell, with an English translation of the Hebrew rap segment (cobbled together from here and there using this dictionary).

Yikes.

כפתור אדום Push the Button
מילים, לחן והפקה מוסיקלית: קובי אוז Lyrics and music: Kobi Oz

The world is full of terror
If someone makes an error
He’s gonna blow us up to biddy biddy kingdom come
There are some crazy rulers
they hide and try to fool us
With demonic, technologic willingness to harm

They’re gonna push the button
push the button
push the bu-
push the bu-
push the button

Il ya plein de souffrance
Dans les rues il y a trop de violence
Et on a beaucoup de chance d’être vivant même pas blessés.
Avancement tactique de régime fanatique
Situation tragique qui me met les larmes aux yeux

And I don’t want to die
I want to see the flowers bloom
Don’t want to go kaputt kaboom
And I don’t want to cry
I wanna have a lot of fun
Just sitting in the sun

But nevertheless …

He’s gonna push the button
push the button
push the bu-
push the bu-
push the button

מסרים מתפוצצים עלי
טילים מתעופפים וגם נופלים עלי
שוטרים וגנבים מתרוצצים עלי
הם קופצים עלי מתקרצצים עלי
אללי אללי תענה לי אלוהי הי
Messages are blowing up on me,
Missiles are flying and falling on me,
Cops and robbers running around on me,
And they’re jumping on me, bothering me.
My god, my god, answer me god?
הסיוט הזה ארוך מדי
כשאני בקושי חי וכולם מכוונים אלי
זה מוקדם לשיר אולי
שנתתי לך חיי
ווי ווי – המשטרה
וויאוו וויאוו – צוות הצלה
This nightmare is too long,
When I am barely alive and everybody is aiming at me
it might be too soon to sing
“I Gave My Life for Thee”
Why, why – police patrol
Wow, wow – paramedical
הנה זה בקדם שיר ללא סלאם
אדום זה לא רק צבע זה יותר כמו דם
שוב עוצר בלב את הנשימה
שלא תפרח עכשיו הנשמה
Here it is in the Kdam (prelims), a song without Salam (peace in Arabic).
Red is not just a color, it’s more like blood,
Stopping my breath again,
So my soul won’t pop out.
הנה מלחמה הנה הנשמה
בום בום זה מה שקורה עכשיו
בין רקטה למצ’טה בין צופה לכתב
בין מחטף לנחטף בין גשום לשרב
Here is war, here is the soul [or: here is war, here is CPR]
Boom boom this is what is happening now,
Between rocket and machete, between viewer and reporter,
Between underhanded opportunism and kidnapping,
הסלמה במדרגות עולה ותופסת קו
כלום כלום זה מה שכולם עושים
קיצונים מקצינים וקצינים מרצינים
התמימים מתמתנים ממתינים לנתונים
ועונים: שכולם חסרי אונים
Escalation rises up the stairs and takes a (front) line.
Nothing is what everybody does.
Extremists getting more extreme and officers acting serious,
The naive turn to moderation and wait for information
And answer that everyone is helpless.
עולם כולו דמונים שאנחנו סתם פיונים
ושמפיונים עם ז’יטונים מחליטים מה שיהיה
ניהול בעצלתיים, אוניה מלאה במים
וכולם שותים לחיים וטובעים זה לצד זה
A world full of demons, and we are only pawns,
And champions with poker chips decide what will be.
Things are run slowly, a ship full of water,
And everybody is drinking l’chaim, drowning next to each other.
אולי זה חד מדי צריך לשיר שירי דקלים
שירי מדבר ללא דגלים
אני עוד חי חי חי ואם ימשיך להיות מפחיד
רק אז אני אגיד:
Maybe this is too blunt, maybe we should sing about palm trees,
Sing about a desert without flags.
I’m still alive alive alive, and if it continues to be frightening,
Only then will I say:

I’m gonna push the button
push the button
push the bu-
push the bu-
push the button

Whatever happened to hupa hule hule hule?

Richard Dawkins in grave danger

Monday, October 16th, 2006
KKK lynching in Gainesville

Richard Dawkins is on tour promoting his new book, “The God Delusion,” in which he “asserts the irrationality of belief in God and the grievous harm religion has inflicted on society, from the Crusades to 9/11.”

He is going to appear in … Lynchburg, Virginia!

This can’t be good.

Let’s Stop Hating & Start Dating

Tuesday, February 14th, 2006
Dater not Hater

Find cross-cultural romance today: scandirabia.com

It is not going to win the mullahs over (a featured profile says: “Don’t blow my embassy … Blow me.”) but it does have a whopping 15 people registered already, including six from primarily Muslim countries.

Join now!

Turmoil and taste

Wednesday, August 31st, 2005
Bad taste

Turmoil can cause bad taste.
But clearly bad taste can also cause turmoil.

“I can only imagine that this is what Hiroshima looked like 60 years ago.”

— Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, about the damage caused by Hurricane Katrina

Whooops. As disaster characterizations go, this one does not exactly lean on the tasteful side.

In Hiroshima, not counting later deaths (lots of them) from radiation sickness, about 78,150 people were killed.

… on purpose.

Louisiana and Mississippi are in pretty bad shape today, no denying that. Their misfortune is not denied or slighted by appreciating that at least they don’t have 78,150 corpses with no skin on, some of them staggering around crying for water before finally keeling over, and they don’t have the prospect of decades of radiation diseases and deformed babies to worry about. And Katrina wasn’t ordered by the president of any country.

To be fair, in terms of buildings and economic havoc, Hurricane Katrina may well have caused even more damage than the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. I don’t know. But surely we all agree — even those who have the stomach to find the bombings justified — that this comparison was best left unraised. Probably Gov. Barbour agrees too; he probably let this out in an unsettled emotional state and is now bleeding profusely from biting his tongue afterwards. I sure hope so.

Political opponents are probably having a field day with his remark, as well as with that of Biloxi Mayor A.J. Holloway, comparing the disaster to the December tsunami in Asia (death toll: 237,000).

In a state of emotional turmoil, we are all prone to blurting out unfortunate, ill-thought-out remarks. I’ve done plenty of that, and will probably do plenty more in the future. Is that tendency a useful measure of a person? It is certainly a lazy one. My first reaction was “what a jackass,” and then I realized that I knew nothing else the man has ever said or done. He may well be a jackass, but at present my basis for concluding that is flimsy.

I hereby publicly challenge myself to be (a) less prone to letting my turmoil affect my taste, and (b) less quick to judge others for the same.

You stand challenged too: the next time you are seriously stirred up, conduct yourself in a manner you can be proud of afterwards. And the next time an opportunity for hasty judgment presents itself — hold your horses.

„Íslandi allt“

Sunday, May 15th, 2005
Guð blessi Bandaríkin

… og fjandinn hirði rest

Kjörorð UMFÍ er „Íslandi allt.“ Skógar hafa verið ræktaðir og íþróttaafrek unnin með þessari brýningu. Ég vissi það ekki fyrr en ég fór að leita á netinu að dæmum um notkun orðasambandsins, eftir að ég hafði séð það í lokin á nafnlausum textamolum á spjallsíðum á netinu.

Téður frasi fer nefnilega í taugarnar á mér.

Gott og vel, þetta er sennilega voða fögur tjáning á ættjarðarást … en líklega fer þá bara ættjarðarást í taugarnar á mér líka. Af því að ættjarðarástinni fylgir það yfirleitt að elska skuli aðrar jarðir síður (og þá er stutt í að líta aðrar þjóðir hornauga), og „Íslandi allt“ felur í sér að önnur lönd eigi helst að hljóta ekkert meira en dreggjarnar.

Auðvitað er þetta vitleysa í mér. „Íslandi allt “ er vitanlega hugsað sem hvatningarorð til að gera sitt besta, sisvona af greiðvikni við föðurlandið, „þú skalt vinna Íslandi allt,“ þ.e. allt þitt. Það er ekki átt við að öll heimsins gæði eigi Ísland skilið fremur en aðrir. Og ég leitaði í gegnum allar vísanir sem vefréttin Google gaf mér á notkun þessa orðasambands, og hvergi sá ég það notað í þessum ljóta anda sem ég túlkaði það í. Hí á mig.

Ég er kannski bara svona viðkvæmur fyrir allri „us-and-them“ hugsun. Ég er ofsalega lítið gefinn fyrir þann tendens mannfólks að draga sig í flokka, „þessa ætla ég að láta mér annt um,“ og í skásta falli skítt með hina. Þetta kjörorð UMFÍ, sem og ættjarðarástarhjal margra, minnir mig því miður á þann hugsunarhátt. Það er kannski bara eitthvað sem ég þarf að láta rjátlast af mér.